It’s bound to get you some day.

I didn’t predict the weather. But I sure as shit predicted July in Afghanistan. 66 Dead. Hoora! and for every KIA another 10 wounded and another 10 or 20 coming back to the States with incurable PTSD that no valium or Lunesta or even heroin can kill.

Sixty-Six dead. A record. Don’t worry. It’ll calm down come October. Read a little history. You’ll see.

And in July next – we are outta there! (yeah right).

Good Job McChrystal, Holbrooke, Clinton, Obama, and Gates.

I’m sorry, Bunn, Churchill was a fat, drunken, sick warmonger. His biggest moments where he was actually in total control were failures. The US won the war. He failed at Gallipoli and he repeated the failure in Italy. He wrote a lot. He just was never that smart. His escape during the Boer War was largely chance. I give him credit for the initial burst over the wall. But his whole career is based on that move. I take that back. His whole career is based on a history that preceeded that which was largely successful. He rolled the die maybe 6 times and came up a winner all six. Taleb will point out somebody has to do it. That’s why you see winners in the Casino all the time. Somebody has to do it.

It should be noted none of these rolls was a strategically sound decision. The odds were always against him. Having served in the Sudan and the Northwest Frontier don’t con’t. He was simply there.

But the world works now just as it did then and we grant hero status and intelligence to men whose luck simply exceeded their abilities.

Look at Britain now. It is obvious Churchill acheived nothing. Stalin too. It will take longer to see this about Roosevelt and Lincoln.

Churchill was massively depressed, despondent, drunk (though nobody admits it) and basically useless in WWII. His Generals handled affairs.

I know because I’ve read most of the histories. At a certain point I said to myself, enough is enough. This is a scam. This man was done in 1942. Finished. The conference before Anzio at Christmas 1942 and early 1943 show how out of touch he was. We had already won. But he was hesitant about everything. He was broken by fever. I know how it feels. I’ve been broken by fever 3 times in my life. But I was losing all three times when I went in. And came out winning. He went in winning.

Churchill was never the same after Gallipoli. He was fucking batshit nuts. His thing about the Germans was just luck. He could have gone either way. His downfall was that he was honest.