March 2016

Super Tuesday (before the results are in)

Trump will get the Republican nomination. Barring an immediate recession that he can take advantage of or the FBI indicting Hillary Clinton for espionage – Clinton will be the next President of the United States based on our outdated winner-take-all electoral college system for the general election. We know in advance from polling and historical data that Hillary will win enough of the non-battleground states to make a Republican victory highly unlikely.

Your vote counts but it doesn’t change anything.

If you are part of the Hillary team, you can stay home, she will win regardless of what you do. If you like Trump, he doesn’t know you exist and he will get the nomination anyway. If you believe Bernie Sanders is our only hope for change, I feel your frustration, but your vote won’t change anything.

This isn’t being decided today. This was the case at least 3 weeks ago, possibly as early as last fall. Your vote won’t actually change any of this unless you band together with tens of thousands of others who are voting just like you in the sames states and switch your vote the same way. You still have a few hours to accomplish this.
Hillary Clinton is in for a tough four years, quite possibly battling an economic downturn, a situation in the Mid-east, a drug-epidemic and a health-care crisis that will all be partially-successfully blamed on the previous Democratic administration of which she was a part.

Both Cruz and Rubio are young enough to be in good position to challenge her in four years. They actually come out semi-winners in this travesty. Trump will have already lost to her once and be too old to challenge in four years. Sanders cannot challenge for eight years and will be way too old.

There has been a lot of talk about how the Republican Party has destroyed itself as evidenced by all the support for “outsiders” like Trump, Carson, Fiorina, and even Cruz. A bigger story might be the lackluster message and options of the Democratic Party.

Barack Obama was a genuinely decent leader for 8 years. No major crises on his watch. He made great progress stabilizing the disasters of the Bush years. We all lived. Gas prices came way down, We have electric cars now.

Not a lot of people seem to like Hillary Clinton. And Bernie Sanders as intelligent and like-able, as may be the case, is all the Democrats have to offer as an alternative for the job. There were a couple of other nobodies whose names I forget, but at least the Republicans put up, I think, 15 crazies at one point. Why is that?

The observation and the point, if there is one, is that we knew before the vast majority of the voting took place what the result would be. Is that a choice?

Even if we don’t assume Hillary Clinton will be the next President, are Clinton, Trump, Cruz, Rubio, and Sanders really the 5 best candidates America has to offer? I, personally, would rather see Obama for another 4 or 8 years.

Should any “events” that may or may not happen in the next 8 months before November really be allowed to change the result we have now? I guess this is the will of the people – Hillary Clinton with roughly 60% support of half the voters, which in turn are only one-third of eligible voters – so, like, 9% of Americans.

What Trumpism Means for Democracy
The republic has been decaying for decades, but it will not be saved by an unconstrained demagogue.
By ANDREW J. BACEVICH • March 1, 2016

Should Trump or a Trump mini-me ultimately succeed in capturing the presidency, a possibility that can no longer be dismissed out of hand, the effects will be even more profound. In all but name, the United States will cease to be a constitutional republic. Once President Trump inevitably declares that he alone expresses the popular will, Americans will find that they have traded the rule of law for a version of caudillismo. Trump’s Washington could come to resemble Buenos Aires in the days of Juan Perón, with Melania a suitably glamorous stand-in for Evita, and plebiscites suitably glamorous stand-ins for elections.

The Russian-American Agreement on Syria?

I think that it is now fair to say that the Russian position on Syria has won. Here is why:

First: nobody is suggesting anymore that Assad will be ousted or Damascus taken. That, in turn, means that everybody has now recognized that Syrian Arab Republic, backed by Russia, has successfully repelled the aggression of the huge coalition the AngloZionists built to overthrow Assad.

Second: Russia has forced the UNSC and the USA to admit that the vast majority of those who fight Assad today are terrorists. Of course, this is not how this was declared, but if you look at the organizations which the UNSC has already declared as ‘terrorists’ then you already have an absolute majority of the anti-Assad forces. This means that the moral and legal legitimacy of the anti-Assad forces is lies in tatters.

Third: regardless of what Erdogan does actually try to do next, there are now clear signs that neither NATO, nor the EU nor even the Turkish high military command want a war with Russia. And that means that Erdogan’s gamble has not paid off and that his entire Syria policy is now comprehensively dead. Keep in mind that following the treacherous attack on the Russian Su-24 the Kremlin made it a policy goal to “Saakashvilize” Erdogan. This goal is now almost reached and Erdogan’s future looks very, very bleak: everybody ( except maybe the Saudis) is sick and tired of this maniac.