So Dramatic

See this movie. Best original, “dystopian near-future” flic made in last decade. Will probably make you feel really uncomfortable for 2 hours. I still have no idea what it was about or what the message was. But it was really good. I walked in by accident. They have some good ideas.

Parallels Between Israel and 1930s Germany
by Uri Avnery, May 21, 2016

I feel compelled to write about the general’s speech after all, because I was there.

As a child I was an eyewitness to the last years of the Weimar Republic (so called because its constitution was shaped in Weimar, the town of Goethe and Schiller). As a politically alert boy I witnessed the Nazi Machtergreifung (“taking power”) and the first half a year of Nazi rule.

I know what Golan was speaking about. Though we belong to two different generations, we share the same background. Both our families come from small towns in Western Germany. His father and I must have had a lot in common.

There is a strict moral commandment in Israel: nothing can be compared to the Holocaust. The Holocaust is unique. It happened to us, the Jews, because we are unique. (Religious Jews would add: “Because God has chosen us”.)

I have broken this commandment. Just before Golan was born, I published (in Hebrew) a book called “The Swastika”, in which I recounted my childhood memories and tried to draw conclusions from them. It was on the eve of the Eichmann trial, and I was shocked by the lack of knowledge about the Nazi era among young Israelis then.

My book did not deal with the Holocaust, which took place when I was already living in Palestine, but with a question which troubled me throughout the years, and even today: how could it happen that Germany, perhaps the most cultured nation on earth at the time, the homeland of Goethe, Beethoven and Kant, could democratically elect a raving psychopath like Adolf Hitler as its leader?

Israel: The rise of the new ‘messianic elite’

Israel’s New Death Penalty Law Won’t Apply to Jews

Border Lines

“You may have noticed that more and more we live in a society where anything goes and nothing matters. We got there through the incremental eradication of boundaries, especially in social categories and behaviors. Some people find this exhilarating and others find this disturbing. I happen to believe that the elimination of boundaries is not altogether a good thing. We would probably benefit, I think, from more and firmer boundaries than squishier and fewer of them.” -JHK

[actually black lives matter, right?…hashtag]

Democracies end
when they are too democratic.

-by Andrew Sullivan

And so, as I chitchatted over cocktails at a Washington office Christmas party in December, and saw, looming above our heads, the pulsating, angry televised face of Donald Trump on Fox News, I couldn’t help but feel a little nausea permeate my stomach. And as I watched frenzied Trump rallies on C-SPAN in the spring, and saw him lay waste to far more qualified political peers in the debates by simply calling them names, the nausea turned to dread. And when he seemed to condone physical violence as a response to political disagreement, alarm bells started to ring in my head. Plato had planted a gnawing worry in my mind a few decades ago about the intrinsic danger of late-democratic life. It was increasingly hard not to see in Plato’s vision a murky reflection of our own hyperdemocratic times and in Trump a demagogic, tyrannical character plucked directly out of one of the first books about politics ever written.

Spare me. 7000 words in New York Magazine. Sullivan is very confused about what he thinks about anything on any given day. Nausea turning to dread? Sounds like he might have a drug problem. This is just to showcase how much smarter Sullivan is than everybody else. I’ve only read about 3000 words. Interesting but pointless. You can arrange these ideas and words an infinite number of other plausible ways. He is wrong about why Obama won.

Politically, we lucked out at first. Obama would never have been nominated for the presidency, let alone elected, if he hadn’t harnessed the power of the web and the charisma of his media celebrity. But he was also, paradoxically, a very elite figure, a former state and U.S. senator, a product of Harvard Law School, and, as it turned out, blessed with a preternaturally rational and calm disposition. So he has masked, temporarily, the real risks in the system that his pioneering campaign revealed. Hence many Democrats’ frustration with him. Those who saw in his campaign the seeds of revolutionary change, who were drawn to him by their own messianic delusions, came to be bitterly disappointed by his governing moderation and pragmatism.

Messianic delusions? He made more sense than anybody else, was the only one who opposed the Iraq Invasion (Sullivan was for it), and was black. The black thing was the most important, because if he was white he wouldn’t really have anything that special going on. America had lost interest in Bush’s fuckup in Iraq by 2007 and Bush wasn’t running anyway. Even with the fuckup in Iraq Bush won in 2004 – remember? If Obama had been white, he would have been another nobody. Edwards or Clinton would have won the nomination. Sorry, that’s the deal. For Sullivan not to even mention this is where the real delusion lies.

U.S. Discloses Saudi Holdings of Treasuries for First Time


172 Replies to “So Dramatic”

  1. i’ve been doing nothing but putting up fence, getting rained on and pulling ticks off my body. oh yeah, then there’s the poison ivy and my daughter’s fat retarded boyfriend… i.m gonna get rid of that cocksuker, the fat retarded boyfriend.

  2. my dreams about you are shattered by the harsh realities of life on the farm.

    i hope you’re putting the fat retard to work. too much hard work will probably remove him voluntarily.

  3. re: fat retard. today, i headbutted him, punched him in the face, and told him to get to work. he went crying to my daughter. the story has just begun…

  4. yeah, i just want to get as work as i can out of that fat fuck. but whenever he leaves, is fine with me.

  5. i like fenced perimeter. keeps some critters out, and some other critters in, in theory anyway.

    fat shit boyfriend took off today. what a pussy. but he was good for hanging fence boards…

  6. so, the farm can’t be too large, if you can put a wood fence around it. or is that just a subsection?

    out here, in most isolated, remote city in the world, we’re still pretending BAU will last forever, or at least until the kids are on their own and we expire of natural causes in some retirement community. to suggest otherwise is to be branded a crazed doomer, something of an outcast from decent society, i guess.

    that’s why i keep quiet and await my retirement date, then i’m gone. but, it looks like the jig may be up before then.

  7. recent exchange over at OFW:

    doomphd says:
    May 21, 2016 at 5:58 am

    Gail, I think you’ve nailed the mechanism of our demise, but timing is an issue. How much longer have we got of pretending everything is fine? I know this question is hard to answer, but can we at least put some boundaries on it? Next year, a few years, a few decades? Probably worth a whole post to discuss.

    Creedon says:
    May 21, 2016 at 6:49 am

    Every person that tries to predict is open to question. I heard George Ure the other night say that we couldn’t kick the can down the road past 2018. Gail has said that it can’t last but a couple of years. B.W. Hill shows numbers that are almost impossible to overcome by the early 2020s and possibly before. John Michael Greer speaks of the collapse happening more slowly during this century. At the Peak oil Barrel they would also speak of a slower collapse happening in future decades. I have been watching and trying to sort out who is more accurate. Right now I don’t think anyone can say definitively that we are going to have a price spike as oil goes off line or if they are going to continue to over produce as the world economy weakens. If the debt system that keeps the developed world operating collapsed we would be in trouble, but they like us are probably more resourceful than we give them credit for on this blog site.

  8. wooden fence along the front, woven wire elsewhere. 20 acres total, 10 pasture, maybe 3-4 tilled, rest is woods.

  9. i’m doing this whole farm thing in an effort to give my daughter some chance at some future. i constantly struggle with the idea that it’s a waste of time money and effort. i could be back home in ct, out dancing, fucking the bitches. wtf am i doing this for?

    it’s all beyond any of our control is the only answer i ever come up with.

  10. my review of “the lobster man”: in the lobster man, poltitically correct has gone to the extreme. all things/states previously considered weird/abnormal are now considered normal. formerly normal things are now considered taboo, like having a normal heterosexual relationship. the lobster man (so-called because he announced his desire to be a lobster, personally, i love to eat lobsters, but i digress) meets a naturalist girl/young woman in the woods and they begin a normal affair. comedic situations are then shown where the two attempt to dodge the new system’s rules and have normal sex. PG-13 stuff is shown.

  11. the doomer consensus seems to be this: why bust your balls/squeeze your tits trying to set yourself up for an extension of at most, a few months to years post-BAU, which will be difficult and lonely, when you should be enjoying what’s left of the BAU we have now? it’s sorta a tortoise and hare argument, three little pigs analogy.

  12. yes, i generally agree with the idea, enjoy what you can while you can. to think otherwise is silly.

  13. not a bad time to have those service calls done and paid off in fiat. just stayed home today with the tree surgeons, who took out the underperforming mango (tanks de lord) and topped the eucalyptus trees. now, the clock is ticking to vacate the premises before those tall suckers grow back. tired of shelling out to have pros climb and top them with chain saws. also, done just in time for hurricane season.

  14. Topping trees is generally not good for the health of the tree. It appears that you have a case of wrong tree species for the site. Consider removing tall-growing trees and plant more manageable species that don’t grow very tall. It will save you money and effort.

  15. yeah both mango and eucalyptus are, or can be, judging from some that i’ve seen, huge trees.

  16. we must be the only house with planted eucalyptus in this portion of the island. i wonder what the original owners were thinking? the mango is easier to understand, but it was just in the wrong place. also, it was a common mango. nobody plants those anymore. everybody plants hayden mangos, because they have superior tasting and larger, meatier fruit. again, one wonders what they were thinking, maybe they got the wrong tree by mistake?

    agree with you GB, it is hard on those trees to be topped. there was a row of them planted in a narrow strip next to a shopping mall in town. they got very tall, and were severely topped, several times. now, there are just a few live ones left. i mentioned it to the tree surgeon, and he said they didn’t want those trees now, because they were blocking the signage for the stores. kinda sad, as i always looked at those trees, and ignored the signs.

  17. bho won because he is black, yet non-threatening, and very articulate. a certain demographic viewed him as the second coming of rfk, which of course, in many ways he is, in that he appeals to a certain demographic. hrc is trying to cash in on that same group. she’s female instead of black, so it may work for her.

  18. i think it will be trump by a landslide. a lot of liberal democrats just hate hillary for the lying grifter that she, bill, and bho are. my guess is the liberal/younger voter demographic, who strongly support sanders, will either not vote or will throw their vote away on a third party candidate before voting for hillary, bringing party unity against the “evil trump” and accepting moron of the same BS. some will even vote for trump.

    it will be a referendum on bho that his legacy of doing nothing about all the white-collar crimes and stopping the endless, mindless wars could not keep the dems in the white house. he can’t or won’t even shut gitmo, that’s how weak or corrupt he is, or both. that promise was in his last a state-of-the-union address, and it has been an unkept campaign promise from back in 2008. anyone with scruples and a conscience would be beyond embarrassed.

    bho is an articulate, smooth-talking person of mixed black and jewish white ancestry who looks black. he’s done about as much as calvin coolidge or millard filmore for the country, that is just barely held it together as the economy winds down and the upper 0.1% enrich themselves at everyone else’s expense.

  19. what’s going on in fiji? any worthwhile prostitutes? or just like giant fat poi bitches?

  20. ah the truth lies between your two extremes. the women are far from petite, but friendly and not afraid of hard work. there seems to be some wisdom in there, also having a woman around who can protect you from harm, so you can relax. if you have children, you can surround yourself with gentle giants who love and admire you.

    besides, there’s a few aussies, ex-pats and polynesians around as well. i’m here in monkey business, as usual.

  21. hmmm…a big friendly woman who’s not afraid of hard work, there could be some potential there. i guess.

  22. i had, at one point, figured on flying to honolulu and just hanging out and being homeless for awhile. another of my dreams is dead…i guess.

  23. good to know the euros haven’t lost contact with their medival way-o-life. sure it will come in handy as they go backwards.

  24. internet is a bit iffy here. nice place. too bad the chinese are helping/fiucktig them as they enter the 21st century. oh well, that’s capitalism.

  25. i remember she used to use some german word that meant something like, “to take pleasure in the misfortune of others”. i don’t remember the word…

  26. Another nice summary of our predicament from Gail Tverberg’s “Our Finite World” blog:

    Yorchichan says:
    June 12, 2016 at 12:38 pm


    Gail and others reasoning, as I understand it, goes something like this:

    “The financial system is a ponzi scheme in which money is loaned into
    existence with the expectation it is paid back with interest. Given that
    money is a claim on future energy, the financial system cannot survive
    unless the amount of energy being used continues to increase. This is
    clearly impossible in a finite world and therefore the financial system
    must collapse. When the financial system collapses the faith in money goes
    with it and all trade ceases. Without trade BAU is impossible in our
    interconnected world.”

  27. personally, i’d want to check the seismicity and helium isotope trend in the gases from that volcano before flying over the conduit like a giant rocky-the-flying-squirrel. just being prudent.

  28. Yup, there’s published papers showing that effect on several time scales. One showed it happened just days before an eruption, another showed it built up in the local groundwater around an active volcano for about a decade before eruption. In hindsight, the He-3 build was the only signal they got, as the eruption was aseismic (no quakes, tremors).

  29. And faster women…. ; ^ )! The barn swallows are back, Doom, and they say, “tweet, tweet!”

  30. also, personally, i don’t think that anyone who votes can be an anarchist. these people are better described as accelerationists…

  31. i recall having some drinks with a colleague at the swallows inn bar at san juan capistrano, ca, many moons ago. the swallows had just returned, so we celebrated them.

  32. “Doom, So there’s more old He coming out just before it blows?”

    this same phenomenon has been noted around my anus prior to taking a a shit. the wonders of nature…

  33. Speaking of the wonders of nature, today I had 4 Eastern bluebird chicks (whole clutch) leave the nestbox. House wrens next. Black-capped Chickadees a week earlier.

  34. quote of the month:

    psile says:
    June 17, 2016 at 4:28 am

    The problem with us humans is that we are either unable to, or unwilling to see, how deep a motherf#cking hole we’ve dug for ourselves

  35. yeah, i guess the only answer to digging a hole you can’t climb out of: just keep digging. i guess…but i do like that quote…

  36. yeah, i don’t give even a single fraction of a fuck about tesla, or edison, or einstein, or any of those assorted fuck wads…

  37. “The Fibonacci spiral: an approximation of the golden spiral created by drawing circular arcs connecting the opposite corners of squares in the Fibonacci tiling; this one uses squares of sizes 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, and 34.”

  38. Leave it to Dave to find some ersatz version of the Golden Section…. “Pass me that rump of small boy!” –Marquis de Sade

    Doom, am a little brain-dead these days… tried to include pictures of the latest crop of barn swallows with that last post and when it failed, gave up. Didn’t remember that I could only publish links to YouTube or other sites. At any rate, the Eagley McEaglfaces have fledged but are still hanging out, learning their trade from the folks. (There’s a good wing-wrestling segment between 11-12 minutes in.)

  39. ee, try posting to an imgur account. then you can link your jpegs to any other web site.

    i did this once, forgot my password, and haven’t tried resetting it yet. but, it works.

  40. i guess that being a small speck of land in the middle of the ocean works to cool things down. i guess.

  41. not sure what competition they were in. but it looks like they all got trophies; which seems legitimate.

  42. from the article above: “Normally we don’t see wildfires of this size and intensity until the late summer or early fall.”

    it turns out that 2016 is an anomalously hot year even among the trend toward warmer climate. One possibility for it is the weakening global economy, especially in big manufacturing countries like China and India that use lots of coal. Coal production has peaked in China, and probably its consumption as well. That will lead to less global dimming (clearer skies), and to a hotter, less reflective atmosphere. The feedback is very fast, as we witnessed on 9-11 after a few days of mandated reduced air travel.

    the longer-term trend is not good.

  43. recent exchange on OFW:

    machine says:
    June 23, 2016 at 5:32 am

    FE writes this:

    “Which is something I may have to invoke — when I check myself into the coo-coo house — if I am forced to read more about how the Year Zero is what the robots will refer to as the beginning of their reign on earth…..”

    10 seconds later, goes on a rambling about how people will be eating rats in the imminent future. How it all crashes down because… Some complex series of events no one can fully understand and even model. But it “surely” leads to collapse and extinction.

    Doomster drama and magnificent inconsistencies in one fine old and wretched package. Yep, that’s FE for you folks.

    Fast Eddy says:
    June 24, 2016 at 12:03 am

    As I have stated on numerous occasions I am playing along …. because if I did play make-believe…. then there would be nothing much to discuss … other than what triggers the end.

    There are two certainties that I am operating off of:

    1. There will be no food very soon after BAU is dead. Because almost all food produced relies on chemical fertilizers. The soil is dead with out it. What little amounts of food that can be produced (the few organic farms around the world) will quickly be overrun. All animals will be eaten within weeks.

    2. 4000+ spent fuel ponds will spew endless massive amounts of radiation into the air which will kill everything that has not already starved to death

    So we can end the conversation there… or I can terrify and amuse you with photos of boiled rats and hippies dancing about the fire.

    But make no mistake — I have reached my conclusions — and I have seen not a shred of evidence that elicits even a sliver of doubt

    This is an Extinction event.

  44. both of those arguments seem kinda silly to me.

    #1. not all food comes from farms, organic or otherwise. humans existed for a long time with out farms. just far fewer of them.

    #2. nothing is “endless”. even if radiation kills everything within a 100mile radius, that still leaves a lot of area. maybe cancer occurrence will spike for awhile.

    anyhoo, it’s always been my view that the best thing that could possibly happen is the big asteroid that turns the earth into a nice sterile rock. human extinction is somewhere down the list of good things, still good, but not great.

  45. they’re all employees of a stipper bar that won some contest, like “stripper bar of the year”. the owner/manager is holding the big trophie for the bar. lucky guy.

  46. in Greece, women are now doing tricks for a sandwich. those girls look well fed, so i guess BAU is still going strong in their part of the world.

  47. a friend of my roommate works for Schlumberger. he says no worries, the world is awash in oil and gas, something like 3 to 4 trillion barrels. but, he had to lay off about 30% of his workers recently.

  48. i smell lawsuit. she was proceeding normally (not running, leaping) in the clearly-marked crosswalk. the van turning left was supposed to yield to her, but kept turning. the pedestrian was very lucky that only her legs were run over by the van. hospital time.

    they must have both been looking elsewhere, iPhones, perhaps?

  49. that interview with taleb was very unsatisfying. he should stick to writing books and playing the stock market.

  50. nice to know about that interview, becuse i could never get it to download out here in rice paddy land. hot and humid outside, like just about everywhere else in the nothern hemisphere near sea level this time of year.

  51. toward the end of that traffic accident, you can see a shiny tablet-shaped object the victum was carrying go flying onto the pavement. lost in her cell phone, then lost in space.

  52. Happy 4th July:

    CRASH says:
    July 4, 2016 at 4:43 pm

    Global Central Banks have already reduced interest rates 700 times in the past seven years

    When over $11.7 trillion in sovereign debt is negative yielding

    The U.S. ten year is at the lowest level ever

    Global debt has grown by $57 trillion since 2007 and “All major economies are now recording higher levels of borrowing relative to gross domestic product (GDP) than they did in 2007”

    The U.S. Fed Funds rate is already lower than it was in October 2008. There is nowhere to go.

    The Fed printed $3 trillion to levitate the Dow to a level its been stuck at since 2014

    Oil is already down 60% from its highs

    Commodities are at 1970s levels

    Profits have fallen five quarters straight, for the time since let’s see March 2009

    Global financials are already in free-fall, featuring Deutsche Bank BELOW the 2009 lows

    Global stocks ex-U.S. are down -20% from their 2014 highs and down -32% from their 2007 all time highs

    When adjusted for the deficit, the U.S. is already in recession

    Real household income is at a 20 year low

    Foodstamp use is at an all time high, not withstanding two cutbacks by Congress

    U.S. housing prices are in 2005

    New Homes sales are at 1960s levels

    The Global growth rate is at March 2009 levels

    The second largest economy is on verge of final meltdown

    The JPY carry trade is unwinding at a rate last seen during the Asian Financial Crisis

  53. i’m writing a 2-page proposal to vie for a $4 million project over 5 years. if funded, the $2 million per page sum will dwarf my previous record of $100,000 per page set back in 1987. my odds are about as good as winning the lotto.

  54. i’m convinced that if you don’t suffer from delusions of grandeur, you’ll never become a big-time, megabuck researcher.

  55. not sure what it means…just thought it was interesting. basically, to the best of my understanding, people are paying more for us bonds, thus driving down their effective yield…something like that. what that might “mean”? not sure. that there is no “safe” place to make $? not sure…

  56. light house keeper…at first i thought that that rectangle was a big solar panel. then i thought that it must be a helicopter pad. so, i’m looking for a diesel tank and generator, and don’t see one. so now i’m wondering how the power that light?

  57. i’m guessing the generator and tank must be inside, to protect them from storms. i think you’re correct about the helicopter landing pad. difficult access by boat and rock climb.

  58. have a look at this exchange with FE over on OFW:

    doomphd says:
    July 10, 2016 at 5:41 pm

    You guys should read Jim Kunstler’s blog on the Hillary white-wash emailgate. The purpose of the FBI investigation and findings may be as cover for a lot darker use of her office at State to approve arms sales in exchange for donations from those countries to the Clinton Foundation. The security breach aspect is nothing in comparison, if the graft is real, as Kunstler implies. Perhaps she’s too big to fail as presidential candidate, like her backers.

    Fast Eddy says:
    July 10, 2016 at 11:14 pm
    I find Kunstler to be a racist pig…. also he writes books about a wonderful post BAU world ‘made by hand’ …. therefore has not credibility… he is like Chris Martenson Lite

    He can turn a phrase quite well though

    doomphd says:
    Your comment is awaiting moderation.
    July 11, 2016 at 12:39 am
    Not disagreeing with your assessment. He has also teamed up with Chris Martenson, and contributes to his pay-per-view blog. JHK appears to have some inside information on the Clintons.

    what have i said that is in need of moderation? all i did is agree with FE and mentioned the known fact about the JHK and Chris Martenson connection. what did i say that was inflamatory? or is the phrase “inside information” a tag for a comment in need of moderation? Sheez.

  59. i saw this on TCM late night last week. i only saw the last half of it, but thought it was good. it’s called “The Vanishing”. not too orginial title or plot, but the acting is good, for a French film, and the subplot or backstory well done. the ending is worth the wait. see if you agree.

  60. Good Putin video. This is why the Empire is in trouble. Backwards Russia can field a real leader and pragmatist like Putin and we only have clowns, creeps, and the corrupt.

  61. what BW Hill and this guy Louis Arnoux give us is an upper limit on the time left for BAU, based upon the simple thermodynamics of oil extraction. that value is about 10 years hence. what Gail is saying over at her OFW blog is collapse is highly probable well before the mid-2020s because the financial structure underlying BAU global economy is in trouble now and is only going to get worse as time goes on. that is why she says 2 years, maybe 4 tops. i hope the hill group is more correct than Gail’s analysis, but what she is saying makes a lot of sense to me.

  62. also, the fast eddy POV is collapse is literally the end, as in an extinction event. sounds extreme, but could be the case for >99% of those living now.

  63. i know that i’ve been kinda living (trying to) with one foot in each of two worlds for awhile now, bau and post bau….meh…it’s all a waste of time.

  64. my friends have a small farm in Fiji. they raise chickens and now have an active egg business, with specialty in brown eggs. i noted the frequency of trips to the grain store. that grain is imported, probably from Australia. they will be out of the egg business once BAU ends. i guess the fallback position is to continue with far fewer chickens for local consumption. i have suggested they convert their power boats to sail. perhaps that won’t matter.

  65. the end of BAU will be the beginning of a bright future for marine life, especially fish. the effect of overfishing in Fiji has been to close down the long-liner’s operations there. maybe the local leadership finally got wise, but i doubt it. there seems to be a fish resurgence, but these are in relatively remote places, so far.

  66. there seems to be two types of criticism of the Louis Arnoux article at site: (1) those based upon ignorance, i.e., they haven’t done the background work; (2) those that are very critical of the Hills group modeling which form the basis of the Arnoux argument.

    see comments section:

    my own 2 cents: the old saw about how if it takes a barrel of oil (energy equivalent) to produce a barrel of oil’s energy, then why bother? well, oil is high-quality transport energy. if for no other reason, it might be worth the extra effort to extract, using lower-quality energy sources such as natural gas, coal and nuclear, hydro. The usually only produce electricity. nat. gas can be directly used as tranport fuel, but it is way less dense than petrol and makes for small and not-too-roomy cars. some buses use it, but has the rail/trucking industry adapted? no.

    not to mention oil’s other uses as lubricants, base of pharmaceuticals, plastics, etc.

  67. yeah, i’m sticking to my wet finger in the air prediction. major famine along the eastern usa seaboard, between a million and 10 million dead, summer of 2024. mark your calendar now.

  68. “The future for oil prices and the global economy is frightening. I don’t know what beast slouches toward Bethlehem but I am willing to bet that it does not include growth. The best path forward is to face the beast. Acknowledge the problem, stop looking for improbable solutions that allow us live like energy is still cheap, and find ways to live better with less.”

    art berman tells it like it is:

  69. comment by steve from virginia, dave’s new farm neighbor:

    “Not that it matters but North Slope Prudhoe Bay play contained 25± billion barrels proved whereas US shale plays (EIA) = 13 bn barrels. At current rate of consumption shale plays would provide the world with about 2 months of supply. That this makes any sort of difference other than in the most speculative sense is irrelevant.

    The problem is the absence of any real returns — of any kind — for the majority of end users. Yet someone must pay somehow: that is by way debts that have become so large they cannot be retired (even serviced) except by taking on even more debts … overly indebted is where we are right now.

    As debt increases, finance capitalization deteriorates, so does the ability to finance more fuel extraction as well as to roll over maturing loans.

    This absence of return for the hundreds of millions of end users is the black hole in the center of the industrial economy that nobody — including economists and policy makers — dares to discuss. The implications are too profound … that we are bankrupted by our precious toys. That trying to expand the economy by increasing (fuel) demand is suicidal.”


  70. Today the bee keeper/removers came for our colony. They removed one side of the outer wall, exposing the hive. Talk about a pissed-off swarming crowd of bees. I was standing about 30 feet away, taking pictures, when one of them got me on the back of my knee. That’s about my forth sting from this colony, so far. This removal manuver could not be done without full bee suits and tranquilizer spray, smokers. They literally would kill you with stings.

  71. that little three part series of articles was pretty good. however, he seems, like many others, to be mentally masturbating over ways to save some sort of global industrialized economy. maybe, he’s not. i kind of lost interest and started skimming.

    in any event, all systems are subject to the law of the minimum. never mind the thermodynamics, all the energy in the universe won’t help global industry. as soon as one critical component becomes short of supply, the whole thing stops growing, and dies.

    meh, dieoff is the only answer…

  72. i think i’ll write an essay on how to minimize suffering in a life whose only two guarantees are suffering and death.

  73. so what about magnetic soles on yoiur shoes and a metal strip on the board? you could also place an attracting magnetic strip on top of the skate board. maybe patent the idea, but the board stalwarts would probably reject it.

    not for older folks, obviously.

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